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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
WINNERS AND LOSERS-2020'S BIG DIVERGENCE & STRATEGY
WINNERS AND LOSERS - 2020'S BIG DIVERGENCE The stock market in 2020 is now an ongoing story of a great divergence between winners and...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
IS THIS 2008 REVISITED?
IS THIS 2008 REVISITED? The chart below of new Covid-19 cases shows that the uptrend that was in place since early March appears to have...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
Buy the Winners and Sell the Losers
BUY THE WINNERS, SELL THE LOSERS. After scanning the wreckage of the past 7 weeks, TPA believes it is time for clients to focus on the...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20234 min read
TPA GUIDES CLIENTS THROUGH MARCH. WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE (S&P500 2800+)…
Below, we run quickly through TPA’s comments and the market action during the bloodletting in March. Then TPA explains that clients...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
Covid-19 data improves, markets rally, but can it be sustained? And here come earnings...
DATA IMPROVES SHORT TERM – WATCH FOR SUSTAINED IMPROVEMENT AND PRICE ACTION Futures are up over 3% this morning as the Covid-19...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
STOCK BUYBACKS DISAPPEARING AGAIN AS THE MARKET FALLS
STOCK BUYBACKS – HERE WE GO AGAIN U.S. firms have been the biggest incremental buyer of stocks in each of the past four years, with their...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
TYL, VRSK, NDSN, CDNS, TDY, RPM, HD, MCO – negative after 50% retracement
As TPA discussed in yesterday’s World Snapshot, a small percentage of U.S. stocks have managed a 50% retracement from the huge decline in...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
THE 24 HOURS COVID-19 NEWS CYCLE IS A SYMPHONY OF PANIC.
THE 24 HOURS COVID-19 NEWS CYCLE IS A SYMPHONY OF PANIC. As we write this, there have been 681,706 cases and 31,882 deaths worldwide and...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
CLX, KR, MRK - positive. Its time to go to the winners during the FEB-March decline.
The market has had a great 2-day rally, but the Coronavirus will be with us for a while. It is time to go back to stocks that...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20239 min read
ETFS CREATED AN UNSTABLE MARKET!
ETFS CREATED AN UNSTABLE MARKET! There is ample evidence that ETFs have reduced liquidity, added to volatility and, possibly, exacerbated...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20231 min read
TPA introduces VOICE-a way to measure the epidemic in market value lost.
TPA INTRODUCES – VOICE - MEASURING THE EPIDEMIC IN MARKET VALUE LOST In an attempt to get an objective and relative view of what is...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
THE LONG TERM TREND IS OVER – A NEW PARADIGM
THE LONG TERM TREND IS OVER – A NEW PARADIGM The S&P500 is down 26.1% YTD and 29.5% in the last 18 days. Covid-19 represents the worst...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
STOCKS HAVE RARELY BEEN THIS OVERSOLD & WHY S&P500 2500 IS CRITICAL
STOCKS HAVE RARELY BEEN THIS OVERSOLD & WHY S&P500 2500 IS CRITICAL Stocks have rarely been this oversold. TPA monitors the percent of...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20238 min read
HAVE ETFS CREATED AN UNSTABLE MARKET?
HAVE ETFS CREATED AN UNSTABLE MARKET? There are implications that ETFs have reduced liquidity, added to volatility and, possibly,...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20231 min read
STOCKS ARE TECHNICALLY WEAK - IS THIS LIKE 2008 OR 2018?
THE MARKET IS VERY OVERSOLD, BUT ALSO TECHNICALLY VERY WEAK Russell 3000 is down 19.4% in 13 days and its 14-day RSI is 26. The Russell...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20231 min read
10 YEAR YIELD BELOW FED FUNDS – A POSSIBLE DANGEROUS HISTORICAL PRECEDENT
10 YEAR YIELD BELOW FED FUNDS – A POSSIBLE DANGEROUS HISTORICAL PRECEDENT Of course, there are a lot of moving parts, but the 10 Year...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20231 min read
PG-negative
PG – clients should consider starting to sell PG at 121; up 2.3% from TUE 3/3/20’s close (S&P500 future are up 2.35%). PG fell below its...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20231 min read
THE FED IS IN A HISTORICALLY TIGHT SPOT
THE FED IS IN A HISTORICALLY TIGHT SPOT The FED’s move yesterday of an inter-meeting cut of a half percentage-point to a range of...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
NUMBER OF LARGE INTRADAY MARKET MOVES OMINOUSLY ACCELERATES - WHY?
THE NUMBER OF LARGE QUICK INTRADAY MARKET MOVES OMINOUSLY ACCELERATES On Friday afternoon at about 3:45 the Dow Jones was down well over...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20234 min read
THE GOOD, THE BAD AND THE PUZZLING
THE GOOD, THE BAD AND THE PUZZLING
In its regular review of the markets, TPA notes that there was a lot of strong technical factors such as
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